4
Sunday Girl
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 91
Saratoga · Race 9 - Johnstone Stakes · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 4/11 | 98% | 17% | -0.81 |
| 07/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |