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6

Usha

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 101

Saratoga · Race 9 - Johnstone Stakes · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength99%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: +3.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 31/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark31/08/2024 · OR 84 par31/08C6OR 84C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark25/10/2024 · OR 86 parC6 @ Del Mar 28/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 87 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark28/07/2025 · OR 87 par28/07C6OR 87C6 @ Del Mar 06/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 94 · 6f110y 119 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 94 parC0 @ Keeneland 18/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 103 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 103 par18/10C?OR 103C0 @ Santa Anita 28/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 104 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/12/2025 · OR 104 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 102 · 7f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 102 par2/05C?OR 102C1 @ Churchill Downs 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 101 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 101 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 110 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 110 par21/06C?OR 110projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Churchill Downs?7th2nd+4
2026-05-25Churchill Downs?1st-4th+4
2026-05-02Churchill Downs?3rd-2th+4
2025-12-28Santa Anita?1st-4th+4
2025-10-18Keeneland?7th2nd+4
2025-09-06Del Mar?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/086/092/0521/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20243rd5/174%60%-0.14
25/10/20242nd10/1195%75%-0.20
28/07/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
06/09/20251st4/1198%100%+0.02
18/10/20257th7/282%33%-0.48
28/12/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
02/05/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18
25/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
21/06/20267th5/287%14%-0.73