5
With The Angels
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 98
Saratoga · Race 9 - Johnstone Stakes · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2024 | 1st | 1/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 17/11/2024 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/7 | 99% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |