7
Avec Grand Plaisir
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 65
Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | BHA64 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 14th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |