14

Borora Aura

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 46

Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got back on track when second of 9 in claimer at Fairyhouse (1¼m) last month but well held in a Cork handicap since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f205y Sft 12911/04C8C8 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m Sft 129C7 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f133y Goo 1258/05C7BHA52 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m1f120y Yie 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 52 parBHA50 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m1f GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 50 par18/0650OR 50BHA48 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 48 · 7f211y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 48 parC7 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 46 · 1m2f Goo 125 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 46 par8/07C7OR 46BHA46 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 46 · 1m4f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 46 par24/0746OR 46projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24CorkBHA469th7th+2
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA484th2nd+2
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA509th7th+2
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA526th4th+1
2026-05-08Ballinrobe?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/041/068/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20267th16/116%40%+0.24
22/04/20269th250/10%43%+0.43
08/05/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17
01/06/20266th5/174%55%-0.19
18/06/20269th9/276%38%-0.38
02/07/20264th11/271%79%+0.08
08/07/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27
24/07/20269th10/147%27%-0.20