11
Chopsticks
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 59
Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | BHA60 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA60 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA60 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | BHA60 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | −2 | ||
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 17th | 19th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 16
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 16/10/2025 | 18th | 10/1 | 47% | 6% | -0.42 |
| 05/04/2026 | 17th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 81% | +0.44 |
| 07/07/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 9% | -0.75 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |