8
Dark Summit
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 67
Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA70 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA73 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA77 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | BHA81 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA84 | 12th | 14th | −2 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA87 | 17th | 20th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/04/2026 | 17th | 28/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 25/04/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 10/05/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 22/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |