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Glittering Gem

4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 70

Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrice-raced maiden. Third of 5 in maiden at Killarney (1m, good, 7/1) 22 days ago. Back up in trip. Unexposed but has something to find on these terms.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f Yie 12927/09C8C8 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f Hvy 12919/10C8C8 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m30y Gd 13014/07C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Killarney?3rd5th−2
2025-10-19Leopardstown?10th12th−2
2025-09-27Curragh?7th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0919/1014/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength43%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20257th2/189%63%-0.27
19/10/202510th5/287%25%-0.62
14/07/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13