15
Mullacurry Maid
4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 56
Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.1 /10 (raw 10.8)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA59 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-11-14 | Dundalk | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-10-21 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Naas | ? | 15th | 17th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 21/10/2025 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 400/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 300/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/07/2026 | 17th | 50/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |