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9

Princess Rosie

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 55

Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y

#13

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest form. 22/1, sixth of 9 in claimer at Fairyhouse (7f, good to soft). Off 10 months. Goes up in trip and first run for yard after leaving J. G. Coogan.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 17/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f50y Gd 12017/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 21/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f30y Gd 12021/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f27y Gd 1205/09C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 22/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 61 · 7f Yie 124 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 61 par22/09C8OR 61projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-09-22Fairyhouse?6th7th−1
2025-09-05Down Royal?12th14th−2
2025-08-21Leopardstown?8th10th−2
2025-07-17Leopardstown?10th12th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0721/085/0922/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/202510th125/10%36%+0.36
21/08/20258th12/137%30%-0.07
05/09/202512th66/10%15%+0.15
22/09/20256th22/10%38%+0.38