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10

Shay's Dream

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y

#14

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

In top hands but well beaten in 4 maidens. This is a drop in class but he's still not an obvious one.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 12.6 /10 (raw 10.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 13126/11C8C8 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13410/06C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 1348/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f135y Goo 13420/07C8projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Ballinrobe?8th10th−2
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?11th13th−2
2026-06-10Limerick?10th12th−2
2025-11-26Dundalk?14th16th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1110/068/0720/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength29%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/202514th18/15%0%-0.05
10/06/202610th28/10%25%+0.25
08/07/202611th50/10%29%+0.29
20/07/20268th9/153%13%-0.40