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2

Shemiyka

4yo Filly · 10-2

Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y

#10

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

100/1 and visored first time, first run since leaving Dermot Weld when improved third of 16 in maiden at Galway (1½m, soft) 5 days ago, suited by increase in trip. Claims if coping with the quick turnaround.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m30y Gd 1296/09C8C8 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f100y Hvy 12920/10C8C8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 14031/07C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Galway?3rd5th−2
2025-10-20Gowran Park?5th7th−2
2025-09-06Navan?9th11th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0920/1031/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20259th20/10%38%+0.38
20/10/20255th10/147%43%-0.05
31/07/20263rd100/10%87%+0.87