3
Taj Crown
4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 70
Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |