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6

Timandi

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 63

Sligo · Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race · 1m 2f 100y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to best when winning 1½m claimer at Tramore last month and good second in a similar race at Killarney (1m, good) since. Considered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 61 · 1m Std 129 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 61 par29/10C7OR 61C8 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 61 · 1m4f Std 121 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 61 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m2f150y Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 60 par13/0160OR 60BHA59 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m4f Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 59 parBHA58 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 26 · OR 58 · 1m Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 58 par15/0358OR 58BHA57 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 57 · 2m Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 57 parC7 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 55 · 1m3f210y Goo 131 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 55 par10/06C7OR 55C8 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 55 · 1m4f Goo 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 55 parC7 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 63 · 1m40y Gd 136 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 63 par15/07C7OR 63projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Killarney?2nd2nd0
2026-07-07Tramore?1st2nd−1
2026-06-10Limerick?4th4th0
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA579th8th+1
2026-03-15CurraghBHA5812th11th+1
2026-02-11DundalkBHA5914th13th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1011/0210/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/202512th16/116%15%-0.00
10/12/20255th40/10%67%+0.67
13/01/20265th11/142%69%+0.27
11/02/202614th25/10%0%0.00
15/03/202612th12/137%56%+0.19
29/05/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
10/06/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
07/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
15/07/20262nd10/147%92%+0.45