3
Cornelienne
5yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 92
Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap · 1m 2f 100y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | BHA94 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-11-14 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-13 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-07-11 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2023 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 18/04/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/05/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/07/2024 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 13/08/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 28/11/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |