7

Candle Glow

2yo Filly · 8-12

Sligo · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€24,000 yearling, Cotai Glory filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 6f winner Struck By Her and 1¼m winner Struck By Churchil. Very green when tenth of 17 in maiden at Navan last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12811/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Navan?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/202610th33/10%44%+0.44