8

Roeillaun

2yo Filly · 8-12

Sligo · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€30,000 yearling, Earthlight filly. Closely related to 7f winner Risk Taker and half-sister to 3 winners, including smart winner up to 13f Western Australia. Showed more than first time up when seventh of 10 in maiden at Cork, not knocked about.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f205y Gd 12827/04C8C8 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 5f GF 12424/07C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Cork?7th7th0
2026-04-27Naas?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0424/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength11%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20266th80/10%0%0.00
24/07/20267th17/255%33%-0.22