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12

Littlepacer

2yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 53

Sligo · John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 3 maidens though yard has decent record with nursery debutants.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 11.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f20y Sft 1284/06C8C8 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 7f Gd 12828/06C8C8 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 12822/07C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Naas?13th13th0
2026-06-28Curragh?13th13th0
2026-06-04Leopardstown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0628/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20268th80/10%22%+0.22
28/06/202613th250/10%0%0.00
22/07/202613th200/10%29%+0.29