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8

Mr Montauk

2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 60

Sligo · John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on maiden form despite not being seen to best effect when 2½ lengths third of 5 to Tatianna in nursery at Down Royal 19 days ago, denied a run over 1f out. Will be suited by 6f and is one to bear in mind.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f Gd 12827/04C8C8 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f Gd 1339/05C8C8 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f Sft 12819/05C8BHA60 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 60 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 60 par17/0760OR 60projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA603rd3rd0
2026-05-19Cork?10th10th0
2026-05-09Naas?7th7th0
2026-04-27Naas?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/049/0519/0517/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength73%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20265th4/179%33%-0.46
09/05/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
19/05/202610th28/10%0%0.00
17/07/20263rd3/184%50%-0.34