IvyArcIvyArc
13

Sophia Royale

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 50

Sligo · John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 3 maidens.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f Sft 1203/05C8C8 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f Sft 12019/05C8C8 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 12319/06C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Down Royal?13th13th0
2026-05-19Cork?7th7th0
2026-05-03Cork?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0519/0519/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength8%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/202610th66/10%0%0.00
19/05/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
19/06/202613th80/10%0%0.00