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9

Stellar Path

2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 57

Sligo · John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

400/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered little in 3 starts, tongue tied last time. Headgear now tried for this nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f Sft 12519/05C8C8 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f60y Goo 12831/05C8C8 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f GF 12819/07C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Curragh?8th8th0
2026-05-31Listowel?8th8th0
2026-05-19Cork?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0531/0519/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20269th18/15%11%+0.06
31/05/20268th66/10%0%0.00
19/07/20268th400/10%30%+0.30