1
Tatianna
2yo Filly · 10-3 · OR 75
Sligo · John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | BHA69 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |