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4

The Drambling Man

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 65

Sligo · John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shown more temperament than ability in maidens so far.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f Sft 12619/05C8C8 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f60y Goo 12631/05C8C8 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f3y Gd 1252/07C8C8 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f GF 13319/07C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Curragh?9th9th0
2026-07-02Bellewstown?6th6th0
2026-05-31Listowel?9th9th0
2026-05-19Cork?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0531/052/0719/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
31/05/20269th28/10%20%+0.20
02/07/20266th28/10%38%+0.38
19/07/20269th200/10%20%+0.20