2
Apothic Red
3yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 59
Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | BHA61 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA61 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA64 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 27/09/2025 | 15th | 80/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 76% | +0.29 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |