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3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 50

Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

First form when fifth of 9 in maiden at Ballinrobe (9.6f, good, 200/1) 16 days ago. Significantly back down in trip for handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 11.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 28/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f Yie 13328/08C8C8 @ Galway 09/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m98y Sft 1339/09C8C8 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 6f Yie 13327/09C8C8 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m Yie 12616/10C8C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Gd 1283/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f135y Goo 13420/07C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Ballinrobe?5th5th0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?13th13th0
2025-10-16Curragh?16th16th0
2025-09-27Curragh?16th16th0
2025-09-09Galway?7th7th0
2025-08-28Navan?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/089/0927/0916/103/0720/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/202512th80/10%0%0.00
09/09/20257th200/10%14%+0.14
27/09/202516th400/10%0%0.00
16/10/202516th300/10%0%0.00
03/07/202613th100/10%14%+0.14
20/07/20265th200/10%50%+0.50