6

Dubai Opulence

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 51

Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

4/1, creditable sixth of 19 in handicap at Cork (6f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Remains relatively unexposed and Billy Lee does the steering.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 9.2)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 1314/10C8C8 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f180y Sft 12622/10C8C8 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 6f Hvy 13315/03C8BHA53 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 53 · 6f Goo 127 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 53 par12/0653OR 53BHA50 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 50 · 5f180y Goo 119 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 50 par11/0750OR 50BHA51 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR 51 · 6f GF 128 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 51 par24/0751OR 51projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24CorkBHA516th6th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA504th4th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA5313th13th0
2026-03-15Curragh?15th15th0
2025-10-22Navan?9th9th0
2025-10-04Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1022/1015/0312/0611/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20258th28/10%42%+0.42
22/10/20259th25/10%38%+0.38
15/03/202615th28/10%7%+0.07
12/06/202613th28/10%14%+0.14
11/07/20264th40/10%79%+0.79
24/07/20266th4/179%72%-0.07