1

Magna Kotcha

3yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 60

Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Thirteenth of 14 in claimer at Killarney (1m, good, 80/1) 21 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes handicap debut with Dylan Browne McMonagle taking the reins.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m Sft 12922/03C8C8 @ Cork 04/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f Sft 1294/04C8C8 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 19th of 24 · OR - · 6f Sft 12919/04C8C7 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m40y Gd 133 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 65 par15/07C7OR 65projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Killarney?13th13th0
2026-04-19Curragh?19th19th0
2026-04-04Cork?10th10th0
2026-03-22Naas?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/034/0419/0415/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20266th100/10%44%+0.44
04/04/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
19/04/202619th100/10%22%+0.22
15/07/202613th80/10%8%+0.08