3
Quinn's Charm
3yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 57
Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-05 | Down Royal | BHA60 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Curragh | BHA62 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Killarney | BHA66 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Leopardstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-28 | Naas | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2025 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 05/06/2025 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/07/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/09/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |