11

She's On The Ball

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 44

Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

25/1, creditable eighth of 17 in handicap at Fairyhouse (6f, good) 35 days ago, not ideally placed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Haydock 17/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 12817/105C8 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 12920/02C8C8 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 6f Hvy 12815/03C8BHA47 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 47 · 1m Goo 119 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 47 par24/0447OR 47BHA43 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 43 · 7f Yie 119 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 43 par10/0643OR 43BHA44 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 44 · 6f Goo 120 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 44 par1/0744OR 44projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA448th8th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA435th5th0
2026-04-24CorkBHA4711th11th0
2026-03-15Curragh?10th10th0
2026-02-20Dundalk?13th13th0
2025-10-17Haydock59th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1020/0215/0324/0410/061/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20259th8/158%20%-0.38
20/02/202613th125/10%8%+0.08
15/03/202610th300/10%40%+0.40
24/04/202611th40/10%41%+0.41
10/06/20265th9/276%69%-0.07
01/07/20268th25/10%56%+0.56