9
The Love Machine
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 49
Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA52 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA59 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA65 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA66 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | BHA67 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | BHA70 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 13/01/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 22/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 11/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 19/04/2026 | 19th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 04/05/2026 | 18th | 100/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |