4
Unfamiliar
3yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 56
Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA56 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA56 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA52 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA52 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | BHA55 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | BHA57 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 27/07/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 02/08/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |