13
Windsor Lily
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 41
Sligo · Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap (0-60) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA43 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA48 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | BHA53 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/04/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |
| 03/06/2026 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 12% | -0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |