10

Curious Jane
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 45
Sligo · Guinness Handicap · 1m 5f 56y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA48 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA49 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Dundalk | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Dundalk | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/01/2026 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 25/04/2026 | 11th | 300/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |