7

Grey Intentions

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 57

Sligo · Guinness Handicap · 1m 5f 56y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran poorly in first-time cheekpieces when tenth of 12 in handicap at Down Royal (10.5f, good) 68 days ago. Up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 9.2)

Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 20/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 12820/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 29/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f26y Yie 12429/09C8C8 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m Goo 12912/04C8BHA65 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m Sft 126 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 65 par3/0565OR 65BHA61 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m2f109y Goo 119 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 61 par29/0561OR 61projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA6110th10th0
2026-05-03CorkBHA656th6th0
2026-04-12Leopardstown?12th12th0
2025-09-29Down Royal?7th7th0
2025-07-20Curragh?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0729/0912/043/0529/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/07/202511th33/10%0%0.00
29/09/20257th100/10%45%+0.45
12/04/202612th150/10%21%+0.21
03/05/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
29/05/202610th25/10%18%+0.18