2

Mare Crisium

3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 63

Sligo · Guinness Handicap · 1m 5f 56y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden who showed something like debut form when fourth of 9 on handicap bow at Ballinrobe (9.6f, good) 16 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f120y Sft 1293/05C8C8 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f30y Sft 12619/05C8C8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f70y Sft 12819/06C8C7 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 65 · 1m2f Goo 140 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 65 par8/07C7OR 65BHA63 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 63 · 1m1f135y Goo 137 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 63 par20/0763OR 63projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA634th4th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?9th9th0
2026-06-19Limerick?5th5th0
2026-05-19Cork?8th8th0
2026-05-03Cork?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0519/0519/068/0720/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength6%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
19/05/20268th33/10%36%+0.36
19/06/20265th11/486%64%-0.22
08/07/20269th13/266%0%-0.66
20/07/20264th25/10%63%+0.63