2

Mare Crisium
3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 63
Sligo · Guinness Handicap · 1m 5f 56y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA63 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |