6
Queen Of Astolat
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 60
Sligo · Guinness Handicap · 1m 5f 56y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 11/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |