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15

Autocrat

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 44

Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y

#13

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Latest win at Dundalk in January. 40/1, 23½ lengths ninth of 11 to Reflectionist in handicap at Ballinrobe (13f, good) 16 days ago. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA67 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 67 · 1m2f150y Std 137 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 67 par28/1167OR 67BHA66 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 66 · 1m4f Std 136 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 66 parBHA62 @ Dundalk 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 62 · 2m Std 132 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 62 par16/0162OR 62C8 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 62 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 62 parBHA71 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 71 · 1m2f150y Std 141 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 71 par20/0371OR 71BHA60 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m5f190y Sft 142 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA56 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 56 · 1m4f180y Gd 138 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 56 par15/0556OR 56BHA52 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m2f40y Goo 134 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 52 parBHA48 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 48 · 1m4f179y Goo 130 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 48 par20/0748OR 48projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA489th9th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA5210th10th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA5616th16th0
2026-05-03SligoBHA6010th10th0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA717th7th0
2026-01-23Dundalk?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1123/0115/0520/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 17
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/202511th20/10%23%+0.23
12/12/202513th16/116%8%-0.08
16/01/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
23/01/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
20/03/20267th13/266%50%-0.16
03/05/202610th9/276%31%-0.46
15/05/202616th12/137%17%-0.20
11/07/202610th12/137%18%-0.19
20/07/20269th40/10%20%+0.20