7
Deluca Chop
7yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 52
Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA46 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA41 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | BHA40 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Dundalk | BHA48 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Dundalk | BHA48 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Dundalk | BHA47 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 05/12/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |