5

Eastern Wind

7yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 54

Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y

#6

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran poorly over hurdles at Downpatrick (2¾m, good) 22 days ago but had been performing respectably on the Flat prior to that, including a second at Leopardstown in May.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA59 @ Bellewstown 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 59 · 1m4f77y Sft 142 · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 59 par2/1059OR 59BHA109 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 109 · 2m100y Yie 165 · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 109 parBHA57 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m2f150y Std 139 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 57 par13/0357OR 57BHA106 @ Bellewstown 18/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 106 · 2m1f30y Yie 153 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 106 parBHA56 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 56 · 1m2f150y Std 140 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 56 par23/0456OR 56BHA54 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 54 · 1m4f180y Gd 136 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 54 parBHA54 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m5f Goo 136 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 54 par7/0654OR 54BHA54 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 54 · 1m4f37y Gd 136 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 54 parBHA104 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 104 · 2m5f185y Gd 160 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 104 par14/07104OR 104projClass-projected finish: 5th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14DownpatrickBHA1049th9th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA546th6th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA548th8th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA542nd2nd0
2026-04-23DundalkBHA566th6th0
2026-04-18BellewstownBHA10610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1018/047/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
27/10/20259th50/10%38%+0.38
13/03/20265th40/10%69%+0.69
18/04/202610th14/126%0%-0.26
23/04/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
15/05/20262nd12/137%94%+0.58
07/06/20268th13/266%46%-0.20
03/07/20266th11/142%67%+0.25
14/07/20269th66/10%33%+0.33