16
Kings Gesture
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 50
Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y
#14
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA52 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Dundalk | BHA56 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dundalk | BHA60 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 05/12/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 13/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/02/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 20/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |