9
Maxwell Smart
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 50
Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA103 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | BHA50 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA50 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | BHA52 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | BHA54 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 17
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 81% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 36% | -0.46 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |