14
Plus Or Minus
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40
Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y
#17
Rank
Odds
250/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA44 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA45 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Roscommon | BHA48 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Bellewstown | BHA50 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Roscommon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/08/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/09/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/10/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 13/10/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 250/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |