17

Preparations

5yo Mare · 9-12 · OR 56

Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bit below form when 14 lengths sixth of 11 to Reflectionist in handicap (10/1) at Ballinrobe (13f, good) 16 days ago. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA70 @ Roscommon 19/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m4f17y Gd 130 · below its mark19/05/2025 · OR 70 par19/0570OR 70BHA68 @ Gowran Park 02/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 68 · 1m4f40y Goo 128 · beat its mark02/06/2025 · OR 68 parBHA68 @ Ballinrobe 23/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 68 · 1m5f9y Yie 138 · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 68 par23/0668OR 68BHA67 @ Galway 01/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 67 · 1m6f14y Yie 137 · below its mark01/08/2025 · OR 67 parBHA66 @ Curragh 30/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR 66 · 1m4f Goo 169 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 66 par30/0866OR 66BHA65 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 65 parBHA65 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m4f Std 135 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 65 par12/1265OR 65BHA62 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m4f Std 132 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 62 parBHA59 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m4f179y Goo 141 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 59 par20/0759OR 59projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA596th6th0
2026-07-10CorkBHA1130
2026-01-23DundalkBHA6210th10th0
2025-12-12DundalkBHA657th7th0
2025-11-21DundalkBHA654th4th0
2025-08-30CurraghBHA6613th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/051/0812/1220/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 17
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength43%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20255th11/486%33%-0.52
02/06/20252nd15/261%86%+0.25
23/06/20253rd9/276%85%+0.08
01/08/202510th11/271%40%-0.31
30/08/202513th8/158%40%-0.18
21/11/20254th12/137%77%+0.40
12/12/20257th11/142%54%+0.12
23/01/202610th9/276%18%-0.58
20/07/20266th10/147%50%+0.03