2
Reflectionist
9yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 60
Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA47 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA48 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Limerick | BHA104 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Fairyhouse | BHA106 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Navan | BHA106 | 0 | ||
| 2024-11-16 | Navan | BHA108 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2023 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/05/2023 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/07/2024 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 10/10/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 16/11/2024 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/04/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/05/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |