6

Think About It
4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 54
Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | BHA59 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | BHA60 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA66 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Limerick | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/06/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 04/07/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 21/07/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |