6

Think About It

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 54

Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y

#16

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★ Timeform

Commentary

50/1, below-form seventh of 12 in maiden at Roscommon (1½m, good) 86 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 13/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 74 · 7f Std 127 · below its mark13/12/2024 · OR 74 par13/12C8OR 74BHA70 @ Cork 13/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 70 · 1m Goo 140 · beat its mark13/06/2025 · OR 70 parBHA69 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 69 · 7f195y Goo 131 · below its mark04/07/2025 · OR 69 par4/0769OR 69C8 @ Limerick 12/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 66 · 7f200y Gd 129 · below its mark12/07/2025 · OR 66 parBHA66 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m1f135y Goo 139 · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 66 par21/0766OR 66C8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 62 · 1m Std 130 · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 60 · 7f180y Sft 120 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 60 par8/0460OR 60BHA59 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m2f158y Sft 141 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 57 · 1m4f46y Gd 130 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par11/05C8OR 57projClass-projected finish: 12th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-11Roscommon?7th7th0
2026-05-03SligoBHA595th5th0
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA6011th11th0
2026-01-30Dundalk?8th8th0
2025-07-21BallinrobeBHA669th9th0
2025-07-12Limerick?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1212/078/0411/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20249th20/10%38%+0.38
13/06/20255th8/158%75%+0.17
04/07/202510th11/271%36%-0.35
12/07/20254th11/142%70%+0.28
21/07/20259th9/153%27%-0.25
30/01/20268th25/10%22%+0.22
08/04/202611th66/10%33%+0.33
03/05/20265th50/10%64%+0.64
11/05/20267th50/10%45%+0.45