IvyArcIvyArc
8

Without Love

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 52

Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Dundalk in January. 4/1, good second of 12 in handicap at Limerick (12.3f, good to firm) 25 days ago. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m Std 13412/11C8BHA48 @ Dundalk 05/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Std 129 · beat its mark05/12/2025 · OR 48 parBHA45 @ Dundalk 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 45 · 1m4f Std 124 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 45 par16/0145OR 45BHA45 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 45 · 1m2f150y Std 125 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 45 parBHA49 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 129 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 49 par11/0249OR 49BHA49 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 130 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 49 parBHA49 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m2f150y Std 131 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 49 par13/0349OR 49BHA49 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 49 · 1m4f37y Gd 131 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 49 parBHA52 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 52 · 1m4f65y Gd 134 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 52 par11/0752OR 52projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11LimerickBHA522nd2nd0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA492nd2nd0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA4912th12th0
2026-03-06DundalkBHA494th4th0
2026-02-11DundalkBHA493rd3rd0
2026-01-30DundalkBHA451st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1130/0113/0311/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20256th100/10%50%+0.50
05/12/202512th80/10%15%+0.15
16/01/20263rd25/10%83%+0.83
30/01/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
11/02/20263rd3/184%85%+0.00
06/03/20264th10/382%77%-0.06
13/03/202612th10/382%15%-0.67
03/07/20262nd18/15%93%+0.88
11/07/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12