11

Wungudi

5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 50

Sligo · Rockshore Cider Handicap (0-60) · 1m 5f 56y

#12

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Off 15 months prior to finishing well held on Dundalk handciap debut in November and absent for a further 9 months since. Tongue strap on first time. Others are more obvious.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 15/07/2024 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m3f73y GF 12915/07C8C8 @ Galway 02/08/2024 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f Sft 1292/08C8C8 @ Cork 11/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 12911/09C8BHA52 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 52 par5/1152OR 52projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-05DundalkBHA529th9th0
2024-09-11Cork?10th10th0
2024-08-02Galway?12th12th0
2024-07-15Killarney?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/072/0811/095/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20245th80/10%0%0.00
02/08/202412th125/10%8%+0.08
11/09/202410th150/10%25%+0.25
05/11/20259th100/10%27%+0.27