9
My Daniela
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 57
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 18/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |