IvyArcIvyArc
2

Cloud Storage

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 82

Thistledown · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 92 · 6f 118 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 92 par14/02C6OR 92C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 93 · 7f 118 · below its mark11/03/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 92 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 92 par25/03C8OR 92C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 89 · 6f 118 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Thistledown 06/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 89 · 1m Slo 119 · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 89 par6/05C8OR 89C5 @ Thistledown 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Thistledown 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 85 · 6f 123 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 85 par11/06C5OR 85C8 @ Thistledown 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Thistledown 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 1m 119 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 86 par8/07C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-06-30Thistledown?3rd6th−3
2026-06-11Thistledown?3rd3rd0
2026-05-21Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-05-06Thistledown?2nd5th−3
2026-04-17Tampa Bay Downs?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0217/0411/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20265th9/153%56%+0.03
11/03/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
25/03/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
17/04/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
06/05/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
21/05/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
11/06/20263rd5/287%50%-0.37
30/06/20263rd5/174%33%-0.40
08/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24