2
Ilikethat
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 76
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |